Joe Burrow and the Bengals return to Kansas Metropolis to face Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs within the AFC championship recreation this Sunday night time (6:30 pm ET, CBS). Each groups’ defenses have carried out nicely over the previous couple months, however just about everybody expects a little bit of an offensive shootout. With a plethora of DFS choices on this epic conflict of AFC powerhouses, naturally, we needed to put collectively a FanDuel single-game event lineup.
The large query surrounding this recreation is Patrick Mahomes’ well being. If his high-ankle sprain is minor sufficient to barely impression his operating and throwing, the sky is the restrict for Kansas Metropolis’s offense, but when he is restricted in any method, we could possibly be seeing Burrow and firm lighting cigars on AFC championship night time two years in to row. For now, we shall be getting ready our squad with the mindset that Mahomes is much from 100%, as we do not wish to depend on somebody with such a unstable harm scenario and dealing with an underrated go rush.
Let’s dive into our FanDuel lineup, comprised totally of gamers we challenge to outproduce their draft prices and exceed fantasy expectations. Good luck and revel in convention title weekend!
Listed below are the notable scoring settings for FanDuel single-game contests: The purpose complete for the “MVP” is multiplied by 1.5, however it does not value any further cash just like the “Captain” in DraftKings Showdown contests. FanDuel’s default scoring is half-point PPR and four-point passing TDsand there are not bonuses for 300-yard/100-yard video games like on DraftKings.
MORE FD SINGLE GAME: win a FanDuel single-game contest
Payments-Bengals FanDuel Single Sport DFS Picks: AFC championship recreation
$60,000 funds, want at the very least one participant from every crew
MVP (1.5x factors): TE Travis Kelce, Chiefs ($14,000)
Imagine it or not, this might very nicely be a contrarian play. Kelce averages 18.11 FanDuel factors per recreation, nicely below Mahomes’ 24.75 and Burrow’s 21.6. A ton of individuals will captain Ja’Marr Chase (16.6) over the stud tight finish because of Mahomes’ ankle harm, too. This is the factor: Kelce performs nicely with or with out to wholesome Mahomes. After the harm, we really noticed Mahomes pepper Kelce with an excellent larger goal share than typical, doubtless as a result of Mahomes didn’t have the identical exhaust velocity or pocket maneuverability. Kelce had already seen a career-high this season in targets (152), touches (12), and touchdowns (12), however his numbers within the Chiefs’ divisional win final weekend have been straight-up bananas: 17 targets, 14 catches, 98 yards, two TDs — good for a strong 28.8 FD factors. The perfect half is that 4 catches, 15 yards, and one TD from that line got here from Chad Henne’s drive in aid of Mahomes. Kelce is the all-time safety blanket in KC, and he nearly all the time delivers when he sees excessive goal quantity. If Mahomes performs the entire recreation, the outcomes shall be plentiful as all the time. If Henne takes over at any level, the outcomes ought to nonetheless be excellent! Cincy ranked within the backside third when it comes to fantasy factors allowed to tight ends this season, and no quantity of double-teams or security spies can sluggish this dude down. Gobble Kelce up and benefit from the inflated outcomes.
FLEX QB Joe Burrow, Bengals ($16,000)
It is easy, actually — I’ve picked Joe Burrow in each DFS event I’ve entered this weekend. He has averaged 21.6 FD factors per recreation on the season and eclipsed 28 FD factors 4 instances, and Kansas Metropolis has surrendered the second-most FD factors to QBs this season! It appears as if Burrow saves his finest performances for a very powerful video games, and we’re all conscious of the wrecking ball he turned out to be in final 12 months’s AFC championship recreation. Roll the cube elsewhere in order for you, however we do not foresee many FanDuel lineups excluding Joey Brr.
FLEX WR Tee Higgins, Bengals ($11,500)
Higgins has been quiet over the previous few weeks, however everyone knows he is able to exploding at any second. If the Chiefs’ underwhelming secondary focuses too closely on containing Ja’Marr Chase, Higgins may capitalize with some home-run catches. The final time we noticed him put up a monster half-PPR recreation was Christmas Eve when he rolled a strong Patriots D for 22.8 FD factors. I like his probabilities of exposing Kansas Metropolis, which surrendered the ninth-most FD factors to wideouts this season.
FLEX RB Isiah Pacheco, Chiefs ($10,500)
Pacheco has turned up the jets as of late, flourishing at simply the fitting time for Kansas Metropolis. Mahomes will want the rookie speedster to determine the run early to take stress off the pocket, and we would not be stunned if head coach Andy Reid and offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy make the most of him a lot within the display screen recreation, too. Pacheco had 101 scrimmage yards final weekend within the Chiefs’ win over Jacksonville, and Cincy has surrendered 109.3 dashing yards per recreation over the previous three weeks. Play the averages!
FLEX TE Hayden Hurst, Bengals ($8,000)
Hurst might have a low flooring, however his TD upside provides him a good sufficient ceiling at $8,000 in opposition to a Chiefs D that allowed the fourth-most tight finish scores this season. Burrow simply discovered Hurst on five-of-six targets for 59 yards and a rating final week, so hearth him up for the final spot of your lineup and hope for the perfect from the massive red-bearded one.